Good morning!!!!

[daugen]

Lou, make lemonade out of lemons, have some quality granddaughter time. Hope no other positives.

this sounded rather dismal from an economic standpoint. Lot of folks saying Grinch is coming for Christmas.

Dow Jones:
Citing the chip shortage and historically low inventories, General Motors Co. said last week its auto sales in the U.S. fell roughly 33% in the third-quarter.
Transportation-industry representatives say congestion at ports and labor shortages continue to create bottlenecks in cross-border trade.
"We are witnessing unprecedented disruptions and global delays and shortages on essential goods including electronics, food, fuel and medical supplies," the International Chamber of Shipping and other transportation industry groups wrote in a joint letter to the United Nations General Assembly last week. "Consumer demand is rising and the delays look set to worsen ahead of Christmas and continue into 2022."

 

[mpham]

Morning all!
Another rainy cold day. Might as well get the blower on and ready.
Hope everyone is safe and healthy!

 

[daugen]

one of those emails you get and think oh no....
this is my old next door neighbor, the nice young paid fireman and local farmer.
Late night fires in the dark are just bad news all the way around, can't see what is falling down around you due to smoke and darkness.
His partner built several of the new sheds on my farm and was a great carpenter.

I am usually very aware of my surroundings and can tell when something is about to go wrong. But Monday morning at 3:45 I was involved in a freak accident. A brick wall collapsed trapping me and my partner (Robbie Cox) at a store fire on 3rd st. I have multiple lacerations on my head and side of face and a broke right leg. I go for surgery Thursday to repair the fibula metal plate and screws. Robbie has tore ligaments in his neck. Thankfully we were in full gear or it could have been worse. We are in good spirits and thankful to be home with family.

https://www.witn.com/2021/10/04/washington-convenience-store-destroyed-fire/

support your local fire company
clearly they put a lot on the line for us

 

[RedNeckGeek]

Good Morning!!!! 64F @ 8:00AM. Partly cloudy. High around 85F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph.
Still only a 20% chance of a shower on Friday here, and it drops to single digits at the campsite that afternoon, which is looking like a "go" if it stays that way another day or so.

No, Drew, no PowerBall ticket here. Like I told the Sheriff, I don't have that kind of luck. Now they think the backup at the west coast docks has caused an oil spill when an anchor from one of the ships hit a submerged pipeline off Newport Beach.

My experience with nails came from the concrete forms around the driveway. I was picking them up for months, as they seemed to grow up out of the dirt during the winter rains. That after I told the contractor that I expected his crew to not drop any of them. Guess he never gave them the message.

Welcome home, Bill. Hope you found most everything pretty much as you left it.

Used a drill motor to test the speedo cable on the van yesterday morning, and it was fine. Took the speedo out and tested it with a screwdriver, and it was OK, too. Put it all back together and it worked fine. Must not have had the speedo end of the cable fitted correctly, even though the keeper on it was fully seated.

Pawed through the chip pile left by the wood splitter and came up with another bunch of kindling, dry as a bone after sitting in the sun all summer. It pretty much filled the last of the space in the Knack box, so I'm probably good for the next five or six years. 15'x19' tarp was just big enough to cover the pile of short end wood scraps for the campfire, and that's about it for being ready for the rains. If we get any.

After lunch I finished putting the red bike back together and got the tank filled, and so far at least, it's not leaking. Used most of a can of Gunk to clean the oil off from the leaky seal, and used Rick's two magic wands to wash it off and blow it dry. By then it was too hot to go for a check ride, so that's on the agenda for this morning.

Would have been a perfect day to finish painting the white tank, but I'm still waiting on more clearcoat. Supposed to be here tomorrow, but the wind doesn't look like it wants to cooperate. And after that, the temps will be too cool until maybe Sunday, but I'll be off camping. The weather did the same thing this spring, going from cool and wet to hot and dry in a matter of a week. So much for a lingering Indian Summer.

Nice sunset last night, though.

 

[PJSprog]

RNG, I really, really, really hope you were the guy in California that won the $700M powerball last night.

I was wondering this morning why they were talking on the radio about a Powerball winner from last night. I only just discovered that they recently added another drawing.

 

[Looking4new]

Low 60 and high to 66°F. Wind W 2 mph. A mix of sun and clouds.

The grass hasn't been cut all summer, but that is okay. It just goes to seed anyway.

Priced out a new Country Clipper "Avenue" z-turn mower with joystick control...$5500.oo tax in. 42" cut. I want the one with the Kawasaki engine.

A quick all day trip yesterday to Englehart, ON netted me a new Lincoln "President II" radio.
On the way back I dropped into Thornloe, ON, (i went right past their front door to get to Englehart), and got a 1/4 wheel of parmigiana cheese and 5 lbs of Mozzarella. $109.oo

Got home and my 8 year old tv/monitor went for a dump and that is where it is going on Thursday. Another trip to North Bay and 400 bux later I brought home two. Juniors' monitor was acting up too.

Have a safe day all

 

[sodamo]

68°F and .21 inches rain.

New neighbor is being visited by county tax office this morning. Invited me to come listen in. Maybe I learn something

Need to make a trip to PO

One Happy Hour couple back from Caribbean cruise. Said with the vaxxing, testing, protocols they felt safer than going to grocery store at home in Oregon.

Prayers for all
Be safe
Have a great day

 

[rswyan]

68F, damp, and cloudy @ 12:30, headed up to a high of 78F supposedly with a mix of clouds and sun but not seeing it so far. So the warm weather continues. Calling for a high of 81F tomorrow.

Rain was so localized yesterday (and today) that it isn't showing up on the two nearest stations.

Need to put the pallet forks on and go move a couple of pallets in the pole barn so I can get the Cub Cadet out.

Beyond that, more garage clean up and probably start on the 2400 hour service on the Kubota.

Hope everyone has an enjoyable, productive, and safe day ...

 

[RedNeckGeek]

Found a new website with a smoke map, which also has pretty good information on wildfires, too. It covers North America only, though...

 

[sodamo]

I think this speaks to the vaxxed/non vaxxed question raised

Associations Between County-level Vaccination Rates and COVID-19 Outcomes Among Medicare Beneficiaries in Early 2021

The purpose of this study is to identify associations between COVID-19 infections, hospitalizations, and deaths among Medicare fee-for-service (FFS) beneficiaries and the proportion of the population fully vaccinated at the county-level between January and May 2021. We do so by using a...

aspe.hhs.gov

 

[two_bit_score]

I think this speaks to the vaxxed/non vaxxed question raised

Associations Between County-level Vaccination Rates and COVID-19 Outcomes Among Medicare Beneficiaries in Early 2021

The purpose of this study is to identify associations between COVID-19 infections, hospitalizations, and deaths among Medicare fee-for-service (FFS) beneficiaries and the proportion of the population fully vaccinated at the county-level between January and May 2021. We do so by using a...

aspe.hhs.gov

From the article: "The purpose of this study is to identify associations between COVID-19 infections, hospitalizations, and deaths among Medicare fee-for-service (FFS) beneficiaries and the proportion of the population fully vaccinated at the county-level between January and May 2021. We do so by using a combination of person-level Medicare FFS claims and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) data on county-level vaccination rates. Based on these results, we then estimated the net reduction in infections, hospitalizations, and deaths among all 62.7 million Medicare beneficiaries associated with the first 5 months of the U.S.’s COVID-19 vaccine roll-out. Our results indicate that COVID-19 vaccinations from January until May 2021 were associated with an estimated reduction of more than 265,000 COVID-19 infections and nearly 39,000 deaths among Medicare beneficiaries.

Is this supposed to be good? 265,000 infections in 5 months in Vaxxed Medicare patients only? And 39,000 deaths? Or that is their guesstimate of the reduction????

Why can't we get simple, clear concise, accurate data for
1) "How many new CV cases during Jan-May 2021?" and after to date?
2) "of those new cases, how many were vaxxed and how many were not?"
3) "How many died from CV that were vaxxed?"
4) "How many died from CV who were not vaxxed?"

 

[RedNeckGeek]

Why can't we get simple, clear concise, accurate data for
1) "How many new CV cases during Jan-May 2021?" and after to date?
2) "of those new cases, how many were vaxxed and how many were not?"
3) "How many died from CV that were vaxxed?"
4) "How many died from CV who were not vaxxed?"

This is the MedCram video I pointed out to you earlier this week:

I think it explains fairly well why the information isn't available; it's not being collected.

 

[buckeyefarmer]

My sisters county in Ohio near Rich, reports 22 current COVID cases, 3 in icu, one of 3 is vaccinated. They didn’t list how many of the other 19 were vaccinated.
Maryland’s numbers are not too bad, seem to be trending back down. My county only reports total number that had it, not how many are active, and no breakdown of vac vs nonvac. I don’t think they want to reveal the true picture, doesn’t fit their narrative.
My county had 27 new cases reported today, out of 270,000 people.

 

[Thomas]

Morning all!
Another rainy cold day. Might as well get the blower on and ready.
Hope everyone is safe and healthy!
View attachment 715802

Phil put the snow blower on and I saw flock geese heading SE...hmmm.

 

[Thomas]

64F sun cloud mix.

Yep another day of "spinning my wheels in the mud" looks like feet up evening.

Enjoy your evening all.

 

[Buppies]

Sounds great

 

[Rich B1]

I just deleted a long reply I typed about the current cases in my circle of friends, co-workers, and acquaintance. It isn’t pretty and likely too controversial. So it is gone…..

The delivery went ok. Made great time getting there, they were just unloading the machine when we arrived. Mostly a boring day doing the PDI. I had to do the MSHA training for the mine personnel for new equipment. Mine manager was even civil. It went to work and was time to head home.

Figured how to bring the bike to life. Already made some changes to the shift linkage but more are needed. My standards for how things should be on a race bike kicked in and work needs to be done. Found out the guy I help is racing the Hooligans support class at Charlotte this weekend.

Everyone stay safe out there

 

[rswyan]

65F and partly cloudy @ 20:45, headed down to 59F overnight.

High hit 78.4F today ... was beautiful outside ...

Used Kubota to juggle the pallets around in the barn and got the Cub out first thing.

Woman came out while I was working on the Kubota and worked on cleaning up garage, She got quite a bit done.

Well into the 2400 hour service at this point:

Engine oil and filter changed.

Hydraulic fluid drained and filters changed. Still have to put the strainer and drain plugs back in and refill with that fine TSC Traveller Premium Hydraulic Fluid. Strainer was pretty clean except for a couple of small pieces of what looked like wire. Don't know ... might have come from a failing hose.

Air cleaner housing removed, cleaned (it had a little something in the bottom of the housing that looked/felt like tar), put back together, and a clean outer element installed. Gasket for the lid appears a little dicey, will call tomorrow and see if they have that in stock. If not may have them order one.

Fan belt tension checked.

Anti-freeze condition checked, said good to -20F. Might go ahead and do a flush and fill and change it out at some point in the coming days.

Used new pin to drive out the one in the loader that wasn't taking grease. Unfortunately the new pin I grabbed was too short for that location, so I cleaned the old one up (it definitely has some wear) and stuck it back in there for the time being. Discovered that the grease fitting was where the problem actually was, removed it and used a pick/probe and some carb cleaner + PB B'laster to dig out the dried up grease then used the grease fitting impact/cleaning tool to clear it out to where the juice was actually flowing through it. Just need to throw some grease on it tomorrow and it should be good to go for the time being.

Still have few more items to do (change gear oil in front axle, grease everything, adjust clutch and brake pedals, etc.) to complete the service.

Also have two hard lines and hose to replace as well on the loader tomorrow. There's also another hose I had made up at NAPA a few years ago that's starting to leak, might run down there have them make up another one ... if they have the better quality hose in stock.

Plants from Amazon due in tomorrow via UPS (two days early)

Hope everyone had a great day ...

 

[rswyan]

From the article: "The purpose of this study is to identify associations between COVID-19 infections, hospitalizations, and deaths among Medicare fee-for-service (FFS) beneficiaries and the proportion of the population fully vaccinated at the county-level between January and May 2021. We do so by using a combination of person-level Medicare FFS claims and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) data on county-level vaccination rates. Based on these results, we then estimated the net reduction in infections, hospitalizations, and deaths among all 62.7 million Medicare beneficiaries associated with the first 5 months of the U.S.’s COVID-19 vaccine roll-out. Our results indicate that COVID-19 vaccinations from January until May 2021 were associated with an estimated reduction of more than 265,000 COVID-19 infections and nearly 39,000 deaths among Medicare beneficiaries.

Is this supposed to be good? 265,000 infections in 5 months in Vaxxed Medicare patients only? And 39,000 deaths? Or that is their guesstimate of the reduction????

Why can't we get simple, clear concise, accurate data for
1) "How many new CV cases during Jan-May 2021?" and after to date?
2) "of those new cases, how many were vaxxed and how many were not?"
3) "How many died from CV that were vaxxed?"
4) "How many died from CV who were not vaxxed?"

I don't know that this necessarily answers all the questions you pose, but perhaps it might provide some insights:

Texas has seen nearly 9,000 COVID-19 deaths since February. All but 43 were unvaccinated people.

It would seem to lend some credence to the point that RNG raised: the reason why some statistical data isn't available is because it isn't being collected.

 

[mostly_gas]

Good evening all. 54F for the start, mostly clear sky and light breeze. Light wind, partly cloudy sky and high temp was 83F, DP 42F. Bike ride in the morning, waited for some warmup before starting. Wife joined me for shopping in town and lunch. Got back too late for both mowing and nap so got the nap in. Had good size hawk on fence but left when I went for camera . Gopher going to work anti gopher activities start tomorrow.
Covid update: Cooke 4035 confirmed cases, 28 active cases, Montague 2503 confirmed cases, 42 active cases, Grayson, 15,687 confirmed cases, 224 active cases. Cooke 15, Montague 27, Grayson 101, new cases. Grayson number still don't add up
Don congrats on 4th finish, thanks for Pfizer booster info
Roy hope you dry out enough
Ron good to hear PT is helping, nice pic
Buppies hope you don't wash down the hill from rain.
Drew sounds like nice rain last night, enjoy your slow day
Bird glad you can take advantage of the dryness
Billy sorry to hear you have so many nails in your yard Good to hear you got a hike with lots to see!
Mike sorry about the finger, hope you get some rain
Pual nice day yesterday, hope trip was safe and uneventful.
Ken hope today is productive for you
PJ sorry about the trolls, glad you are back to QA MGR only.
Lou praying for GD and you
Drew thanks for info, I think
Phil nice pic
Drew you are right about what they do and risk for us
RNG nice forecast for camping trip, good to hear speedo checks out.nice sunset
Bill get home and start spending money like you had it
David hope you learned from the taxing visit. hope you get to the post office in time
RS hope you get the Kubota service with no surprises.
David thanks for link
Dennis thanks for info
Thomas hope you did not get too muddy from wheels
Rich glad the bad boy was civil and you got the people trained and machine is at work
RS nice you got the fitting to take grease and no surprises.
prayer for all, especially Jay/Peg, Kyle's daughter/friend PT from Covid, Bird/aging issues/, Don,whipper/more tests,ring bearer/back broken, Randy/FIL living alone adjustments, PJ/FIL fall and stroke, Dennis /wife wrist surgery and recovery, Roy's wife ankle surgery and recovery, David(moss)/remodel/divorce, Buppies/new cancer on arm, Thomas/gout, Phil/reflux/wife's eyes, Steppenwolfe/son-auto immune disorder, Grev/wife's eye, Ted/knee recovery, Doug and wife/health issues/nerve and pain/ wife's eyes, Ken/aunt fall injuries, David(sadamo)/Sophie's eye surgery/Back issues, RNG/fire season, Chris/neighbor's granddaughter and Covid issues, Scaredy/injuries from fall, Paul/ wife's disc issues, and Country.
stay safe and healthy you all.