Good morning!!!!

CWB Wyo · Sep 10, 2018

This morning was 41°, yesterday was in the 70's and sunny. Today is going to be warmer in the mid 80's and some wind this afternoon. If this keeps up we won't have much of a winter. I haven't seen it this dry in the 10 years I've been here.

Eric, that made me think of the running of the bulls in Spain. It looked like everyone was having a good time even the sheep and no one got hurt.

The luncheon was kind of a bust yesterday, only few couples showed up. I felt bad for the for the hosts they put a lot of work in to it.

Not sure what I'll do today.

Hope everyone has a good start to the week.
CWB.

newbury · Sep 10, 2018

daugen said:
<snip>
My brother was a bit excessive on his back up gen, 70kw...have no idea why he thought he needed all that. <snip>

If it's diesel is he aware of the problems with "wet stacking"?

sodamo · Sep 10, 2018

71°F and .52 inches rain
O this morning in hopes my blade bolts are there. Sure wish I had gotten a tracking number. What should be there is my Milestone herbicide, special treat for the albizia.

Into Hilo town this afternoon, HD, propane refill for cottage, other errands.

Prayers for all
Be safe
Have a great day

hawkeye08 · Sep 10, 2018

Spray plans for weekend were a bust, it was too windy. I did get the lawn mowed.

We decided to go the local county fair Saturday afternoon, but found out when we got there that others had the same idea and the parking lots were full, so we went to quilt shop instead. My wife looked and looked, but did not find what she was wanting to get...

After church and lunch on Sunday, tried the fair again, found parking not too far. Without granddaughter with us, it did not take too long to see all we wanted to see. Wife wanted a EcoSpa (super insulated hot tub), I tried an EMS (like a TENS unit), it was nice, but price seemed high. We got some kettle corn and watched people awhile.. good to go for another year.

Prayers for all, sounds like folks are staying busy.

txdon · Sep 10, 2018

newbury said:
That looks like child abuse! What did the poor children do wrong?

They are safety conscious. They put the kids on backwards so they don't get head-on head injuries.

Drew, start preparing. Diesel for your tractor, grapple on, extra Chainsaw fuel and chain. Have a place scoped out that the debris can be stacked near the road.

Ed of all trades · Sep 10, 2018

Drew, are you sure you don't think it is a good time to go on a road trip? Sounds like it will be nasty down there. Ether way be safe. Only thing I will need to do is pump the pool down but will wait until it is closer.

David and all expecting the BIG STORMS, stay safe and hang on to your hat. Ed

buckeyefarmer · Sep 10, 2018

Usually by the time they get here, they are just a big rain event, just like this weekend. But this time, the low areas are already flooded, hopefully some will go down before the nightingale hits.

toppop52 · Sep 10, 2018

Flo needs to go... north that is and soon. Ain’t going to happen this time I’m a feared. We don’t have as much water as in the spring but the ground is pretty well saturated.
I’m supposed to go to Winchester and Front Royal Saturday. We will play wait and see.

lostcreekranch · Sep 10, 2018

toppop52 said:
Flo needs to go... north that is and soon. Ain’t going to happen this time I’m a feared. We don’t have as much water as in the spring but the ground is pretty well saturated.
I’m supposed to go to Winchester and Front Royal Saturday. We will play wait and see.

There is a major high pressure area, off the upper east coast, that is steering Florence to the Carolinas.

daugen · Sep 10, 2018

OuterBanks/Hatteras Island just evacuated. Cat 4 as predicted.
Folks are leaving the Pamlico River, storm surge of 15 to 20 feet predicted.
That is record breaking here and means everything along the River will be messed up.
While I am happily at 32 ft above sea level...and ten miles away from the River.

Last time hurricane drove all the water "up the River" it wrecked the next big town over, Greenville, where ECU is, currently sending students home, and the area main hospital. Pamlico River name changes into Tar River at Washington and it's where all the water goes when it can't go anywhere else...

What really looks bad frankly is inland and all the rain headed to VA. Buppies and others be careful too. I bet roads will be impassable for days.

toppop52 · Sep 10, 2018

rlgustafson said:
There is a major high pressure area, off the upper east coast, that is steering Florence to the Carolinas.

Yep, I said a few days ago that I was afraid it would act a lot like Hugo, looks like it might until landfall, then this one stalls and floods large areas with catastrophic ampounts of rain. This one truly scares me.

riptides · Sep 10, 2018

We are saturated have been for weeks. It will be catastrophic if it gets inland.

lostcreekranch · Sep 10, 2018

Y’all are in our prayers for safety. Don’t be heroes and try to “weather” this storm at home. If the smart guys say to evacuate it’s better to be safe than sorry.

Everything you leave behind, is replaceable “stuff”.

daugen · Sep 10, 2018

My brother has been trying to get his daughter and grandson out of Charleston, which surely will flood like crazy. Last time she was out of power for a crazy long time.

I would not want to be in some of the single wide trailers and manufactured housing in this area.
Am reminded how secure we felt as kids in a bad storm because the walls on our 1720 home were three feet thick stone.
Nothing was going to huff and puff and blow us down.
I think my current home is built adequately but who knows. Already has an insurance shingle job on it...

When you don't have a basement it's hard to feel fully safe. Can't have basements here so assuming one's roof is still on, all one can do
is hunker down near the chimney.

While living aboard my boat in South Florida hurricane went right over us, hit 110mph on big yacht's recording weather rig next dock over.
What I remember the most was the noise. In this case an eerie moaning, deep moaning sounds which you couldn't figure out where it was coming from, like something big was being tortured, and turns out it was the giant flagpoles they had erected all down the roadway. Something had hit a resonance or harmonic and those poles were like pipes on an organ, playing a very unintentional tune. Spooky...

Around here the noise will be the rattling of gutters and some occasional what was that noises.
And the exhaust vent in the kitchen will be having a fit, wanging away. Now that gets tiresome...

lostcreekranch · Sep 10, 2018

daugen said:
My brother has been trying to get his daughter and grandson out of Charleston, which surely will flood like crazy. Last time she was out of power for a crazy long time.

I would not want to be in some of the single wide trailers and manufactured housing in this area.
Am reminded how secure we felt as kids in a bad storm because the walls on our 1720 home were three feet thick stone.
Nothing was going to huff and puff and blow us down.
I think my current home is built adequately but who knows. Already has an insurance shingle job on it...

When you don't have a basement it's hard to feel fully safe. Can't have basements here so assuming one's roof is still on, all one can do
is hunker down near the chimney.

While living aboard my boat in South Florida hurricane went right over us, hit 110mph on big yacht's recording weather rig next dock over.
What I remember the most was the noise. In this case an eerie moaning, deep moaning sounds which you couldn't figure out where it was coming from, like something big was being tortured, and turns out it was the giant flagpoles they had erected all down the roadway. Something had hit a resonance or harmonic and those poles were like pipes on an organ, playing a very unintentional tune. Spooky...

Around here the noise will be the rattling of gutters and some occasional what was that noises.
And the exhaust vent in the kitchen will be having a fit, wanging away. Now that gets tiresome...

Like someone else noted Drew ...... might be a good time for a road trip. I’d head southwest.

daugen · Sep 10, 2018

riptides said:
We are saturated have been for weeks. It will be catastrophic if it gets inland.

and all the predictions are it will stall somewhere between me and you and dump inch an hour rain for days.
Not just creeks are going to rise, it's will all your bridge infrastructure wash away with it. My brother is in Markham up on a hill, good thing, at least the water can go somewhere...but I think his winding country road is toast. A creek runs right along it.

Ron, he has a 1000 gallon propane tank also. No wet stacking. I'm very familiar with that term from yachts being driven at too low
rpms and not getting hot enough. Mostly up and down the Intracoastal nearby. Now Detroits liked to slobber but that would make them even messier...and some of the big German iron like MAN and MTU really didn't like it, those high performance MAN's were like Ferrari engines, you didn't want to lug them...not that I've ever driven a Ferrari. Have no idea if Caterpillar had wet stacking issues, I guess any engine that doesn't get to operating temperature would. Propane/LPG really does make a great fuel for generator use.

Rick, too much here to look after. This storm is going to make a big mess and as long as my gen keeps running, I'll be fine. Was a fireman too long to run from storms. Just thankful I don't have to go out in it during the night.
I hate storms at night when you can't see what is going on. And downed live wires all over the place.

sodamo · Sep 10, 2018

You guys take care and be safe out there.

Here, I’m less concerned about rain, after all we saw over 40 inches for Lane, but a bit about wind as that’s kinda unknown at this point.
Not worried about us much, I tend to think we are a safer place to evacuate to. Generators ready, over 200 gal diesel, 16kg fresh water, plenty of food in freezer. Going to Brewery this afternoon for another keg.

We can hunker down a bit without problems. Might have to depending on road damage/closures on main highway. State crews are excellent at getting slides cleared.

Prayers for all.

toppop52 · Sep 10, 2018

Drew, new path has the storm closer to you, please use your head when deciding what to do. Cone of uncertainty has moved north about a hundred miles, the edge is just south of us now.

toppop52 · Sep 10, 2018

I remember Donna in 1960, I was 8, lying in bed and listening to the tin on the roof rolling up from the edges then the loud pop as the nails gave way. Next day the yard was littered with neatly rolled roof tin.