This is about the third straight quarter that tractor sales have been on the decline. As mentioned last year, I believed the huge surge in compact tractor sales was tied to the overheated housing market and once that popped we would see demand sharply fall. My father has also reported seeing Kubota commercials running on television a lot lately which is very unusual given the time of year and where we are located in the country. My best advice to anyone considering the purchase of a new tractor is to sit and wait it out. If this trend continues we could see some real bargain buys coming next year.
Here is a video from a guy that has been covering this since the start of the year. This most recent video is his best to date.
Definitely entering the first leg of the three-fold Chinese curse: "May you live in interesting times."
First, as of yesterday the Bank of England is both raising rates, as well as buying its own treasury bonds in an attempt to shore up the value of the Pound. In a year, our Central Bank may very well be copying the same broken strategy as inflation continues to spiral upward.
Second, our present Administration is being thanked for sabotaging the NORD pipeline releasing an untold amount of greenhouse gasses in the context the same Administration has stated that global warming represents the greatest existential threat to the human race. Expect energy prices to continue to rise, thereby fueling more inflation.
Third, our government leaders continue to saber-rattle against Russia, a very dangerous path—especially so if we really did sabotage the NORD pipeline which would pit us directly at odds with our largest nuclear rival. Even so our government has already sent $66B of aid to Ukraine, and this after we orchestrated a coup in Ukraine a few years ago.
Fourth, Hurricane Ian slamming into Florida, Florida will require emergency disaster money, money we cannot afford to print because doing so will further fan the flames of inflation.
I’m expecting a 20% haircut in market values over the next 12-18 months as the bubble of everything deflates even as inflation continues to haunt us. Hopefully we don’t get into a new war.