The widespread loss of utility grid power from the recent storm is affecting many, at the same time, whole home backup power (HBP) technology is rapidly advancing.
There have been previous threads on the topic, but wondering if there is any new emerging technology that should be considered looking forward for a 15 year life-cycle solution?
Areas of interest include:
1. What current technology or systems continue to be considered as long-term efficient and reliable?
2. Is there new emerging technology that might be worth considering (such as a Powerwall)?
3. Are there emerging technology or systems that should be avoided?
4. Are there any hybrid solutions using both solar/battery and carbon fuel that are now proven, reliable and affordable for backup power at this point?
What do you mean by efficient? I think that is a complicated concept when it comes to energy systems.
I don't think that I have great answers, in part because I think that the decision is very local and personal.
I've been involved in solar and backup systems for most of my life in a variety of roles, both at work and home. At home, we have had solar plus batteries for a while, with generator backup as needed. My observation is, absent tariff and tax changes, that the technologies are getting cheaper, more reliable, and, in the case of battery chemistries and designs, safer. For off the shelf items today, Enphase and Tesla seem to be a big chunk of the US market. We had a backup generator, added solar, then later added batteries, then upgraded the generator and transfer switch. I do not recommend piecemeal. I like the Enphase designs and reliability, but they aren't inexpensive, and while Tesla is pretty cheap, they have little to no commitment to after sales service and warranty support, so if something isn't right, expect months of downtime.
There are a limited number of systems (Enphase, Generac, and DIY ones like the EG4) that support generator plus solar/wind batteries and grid power. We don't have a system that supports generator charging of the batteries, as the use of carbon fuels under prior tax laws wiped out some of the tax credits in the past, making it less popular for grid tie systems manufacturers and customers. Tesla, in particular no longer supports any generator use. If DIY is in the cards, there are more than a few options for solar/batteries (new and used) / inverters. Getting grid tie approval for a DIY may be challenging, depending on your AHJ and utility. I've lived with generators run from methane digesters, which can be done, but weren't in my experience remotely close to low maintenance.
Affordable in my view is likely to be mass market products where the economics of large scale manufacturing lowers the costs, e.g. (Enphase/Generac/Tesla) or DIY. New usually means higher $/kWh, and lower reliability.
As to the next 10-15 years, I find that hard to call as while there are emerging solutions, the actual design for manufacturing and then actually manufacturing something well can take 5-10 years to get to reliable. (E.g. New car models are rarely at their best in the first years of manufacturing.) Personally, the point of backup power to me is that it be reliable, so I, for one, would not be rushing to get the latest and greatest if the intended use was backup power. As an example, one rarely sees solar water heaters where it can freeze, because it is more cost effective to use solar panels to generate power, some of which can be used to generate hot water, either with resistance or heat pump water heaters. It wasn't bad water heating technology, it was installation costs that kept roof top solar water from being adopted.
I would not overlook the other half of the power equation in terms of what can be done to lower the demand by better insulation, windows, more efficient appliances (like heat pump heating and dryers), etc. Lowering the energy demand translates to lower cost backup, systems or longer off grid run times, or some combination thereof. In my experience, where to spend money/invest is a very personal marginal cost/marginal benefit analysis that gets pretty specific to the individual, and the specifics of the site, household, and preferences.
If you want to drill down on particular technologies, and have specific questions, I am happy to share what I've learned.
All the best,
Peter