Corona Virus #6

[rekees4300]

And a far more pessimistic view.

The US may end up with the worst COVID-19 outbreak in the industrialized world - The Atlantic

I'm not saying this is how it will work out. I think it's too early to know. But this author has summarized some of the available thinking by specialists who should know something.

Endless speculation ... nobody KNOWS what is going to happen. Only time will tell. :2cents:

 

[cdaigle430]

With all the info coming in hourly and changes daily as a person like everyone else I am trying to find a balance prepping, prevention and what ifs. Its taking its toll on me mentally but I know Im not the only one.

I agree with two weeks isolation and despise anyone who ignores it that doesn't have to. IMO this will hopefully break the escalation in numbers to a more manageable figure and allow responders to get better equipped and prepared.

If you dont adhere to the lock down you could help its prolonging so much it will bring financial ruin to everyone.

 

[pennwalk]

Watch it guys. I see a guy with a padlock coming down the hall.

Chris

 

[lilranch2001]

As if that would be a first time......

:laughing:

 

[newbury]

Most schools were on spring break the weeks of March 10-14 and March 17-21. So, add 14 days to those and you get March 24 - April 4.

But then we need time for the virus to spread from the infected spring-breakers to their home sites.
Mardi Gras was February 25, 2020, and that took about a month. So I'd be thinking it might be a little late for Easter before the cases start piling up.

 

[k0ua]

But then we need time for the virus to spread from the infected spring-breakers to their home sites.
Mardi Gras was February 25, 2020, and that took about a month. So I'd be thinking it might be a little late for Easter before the cases start piling up.

Wonder how may took the Corona Virus Challenge and licked toilet seats? One we know of for sure!

 

[newbury]

With all the info coming in hourly and changes daily as a person like everyone else I am trying to find a balance prepping, prevention and what ifs. Its taking its toll on me mentally but I know Im not the only one.

I agree with two weeks isolation and despise anyone who ignores it that doesn't have to. IMO this will hopefully break the escalation in numbers to a more manageable figure and allow responders to get better equipped and prepared.

If you dont adhere to the lock down you could help its prolonging so much it will bring financial ruin to everyone.

I don't see a "balance", we all should have been prepared for something to occur.
As far as 2 weeks isolation - until they get a vaccine that will prevent it we are on shaky ground. I'd like to just keep isolation until a vaccine is available.

 

[ruffdog]

Administration ignored 69 page playbook on how to handle pandemic.

Trump team failed to follow NSC’s pandemic playbook - POLITICO

 

[Gale Hawkins]

What's is coming from New Orleans is my concern. Isolation efforts are ending with Spring weather and the start of the AG season. Diet and general health are more poor in the south. Obesity is more common and we know obesity makes COVID-19 more of a killer.

 

[3 Horse Ranch]

Yeah, but they were starting from 'scratch'.

Mao Zedong managed to kill 45 Million in 4 years of the "Great Leap Forward". Plenty of practice.

True, but 14,500,000 in one crematorium in 3 months as the original post implied, give me a break

 

[the old grind]

From all the charts, links, and comments I see a light at the end of a tunnel. That tunnel is long, and our pace through it seems glacial. One item of preparedness I've always held to is to be able to calm myself and wait out things I can't do anything about.

The most 99% of us can do is self isolate, and for a time we can expect that to be for 14 days+ from any contagion or symptom. Those among us who have work/income interruptions may be hit harder as any who contract the disease.

Now we're waiting for the government to send whatever assistance comes along I'll be searching for someone to pass it along to. I'm far from needing aid of any kind and don't expect much, but most of my friends, neighbors, and acquaintances are working and have families. I have more than time to share to make lives better around me. Bet I'm not the only one who's thought of this. I know you guys too well.

We'll get through this nightmare but it'll take time. Make good use of yours as always, I hope you'll make the wait seem shorter.

 

[ruffdog]

From all the charts, links, and comments I see a light at the end of a tunnel. That tunnel is long, and our pace through it seems glacial. One item of preparedness I've always held to is to be able to calm myself and wait out things I can't do anything about.

The most 99% of us can do is self isolate, and for a time we can expect that to be for 14 days+ from any contagion or symptom. Fact or fiction, to follow this thread isn't easy. Those among us who have work/income interruptions will be hit as hard as any who contract the disease.

While I'm waiting for the government to send me whatever assistance comes along I'll be searching for whomever I know to pass it along to. I'm far from needing aid of any kind and don't expect much, but most of my friends, neighbors, and acquaintances are working and have families. I have more than time to share to make their lives better, you?

We'll get through this nightmare but it'll take time. Make good use of yours as always, I hope you'll make the wait seem shorter.

That tunnel is still on a steep incline.

Coronavirus has now killed more than 1, people in the US. But health officials say the peak is yet to come - CNN

 

[/pine]

IMO...It's kind of ludicrous to hold press conferences with everyone sitting six feet apart if someone is speaking...the six feet is fine if people are keeping their mouths shut...but air currents (even indoors) can carry pathogens easily over six feet...
Speaking propels the micro droplets much farther than normal breathing...

 

[3 Horse Ranch]

Administration ignored 69 page playbook on how to handle pandemic.

Trump team failed to follow NSC’s pandemic playbook - POLITICO

Interesting, but since the virus didn't hit our shores until about 7 weeks ago, how much can be done. Most of what is outlined in the article would require 20/20 foresight, and nobody short of God has that. With a sudden pandemic everybody is going to be behind the curve. The real question is how far behind the curve are we?
The first case showed up in Everett WA about the 3rd week of January and it didn't seem to be spreading in the state until a few weeks later when it hit the Kirkland nursing home. There were 69 cases in the US as of February 29 and the WHO didn't declare it a pandemic until March 11. Until about four weeks ago it appeared to be a mostly Asian problem. Governments by nature are slow in reacting, just how much can be done in a few short weeks, with governments, not much.

 

[the old grind]

IMO...It's kind of ludicrous to hold press conferences with everyone sitting six feet apart if someone is speaking...the six feet is fine if people are keeping their mouths shut...but air currents (even indoors) can carry pathogens easily over six feet...
Speaking propels the micro droplets much farther than normal breathing...

I believe a major factor may be a typical American attitude of "Bad s__ happens to other people," and "That'll never happen to me," as if we're on TV or in a movie and even with troubles along the way there's always a happy ending. We flaunt rules and tell ourselves that bad news won't reach our enclaves. IMO panic can be just a clash of complacency and a threat scarier than zombies because we don't have 'ammo'.

I suppose if there are meek that inherit they will be ones that knew how & when not to 'party on'. (A metaphor for Sodom and Gomorrah, die for ur sins?) To think of college kids passing bottles and making out at a time like this is utterly horrifying. If I get the disease that's one person to lose, but breakers and Mardi Gras goers make me weep for the wisdom of our culture.

We don't know why there are press conferences lately. I wonder which Prez(s) would have had a video 'fireside chat' for us from the oval office vs a public 'rally'. I doubt if many Journalists are self-isolating lately and I wouldn't want to be one this year. Sorry to go OT.

 

[k0ua]

I believe a major factor may be a typical American attitude of "Bad s__ happens to other people," and "That'll never happen to me," as if we're on TV or in a movie and even with troubles along the way there's always a happy ending. We flaunt rules and tell ourselves that bad news won't reach our enclaves. IMO panic can be just a clash of complacency and a threat scarier than zombies because we don't have 'ammo'.

I suppose if there are meek that inherit they will be ones that knew how & when not to 'party on'. (A metaphor for Sodom and Gomorrah) To think of college kids passing bottles and making out at a time like this is utterly horrifying. If I get the disease that's one person to lose, but breakers and Mardi Gras goers make me weep for the wisdom of our culture.

Don't forget the "challenge" folks. Or the Mayor of Florence Italy. Now that is some "good thinking" right there.

 

[the old grind]

In before the lock.

 

[/pine]

Cue the credit's music...!

 

[k0ua]

In before the lock.

Just barely..

 

[lilranch2001]

adios