What's going on with wheat?

[sea2summit]

Just fear or is there a bad forecast for this year?

 

[Snobdds]

Pain ahead...

 

[kenmbz]

Don't we usually ship huge amounts of wheat to that R country?

 

[Vernorz]

Ukraine is a very large wheat producer. I expect the demand in other parts of the world will be pretty high and the U.S. will be exporting quite a bit of wheat this year as a result.

 

[MapleLeafFarmer]

Russia is the worlds largest wheat exporter.
Ukraine is the worlds 5th largest exporter.

Combined they export 2X as much as the USA does..... 34% of the worlds exports !!!

if war continues and financial sanctions increase and/or Russia takes over the independent country of the Ukraine, N.A. wheat farmers will make out like gangbusters with higher world prices. Consumers will have to pay more.

 

[sea2summit]

Russia is the worlds largest wheat exporter.
Ukraine is the worlds 5th largest exporter.

Combined they export 2X as much as the USA does..... if war continues and financial sanctions increase farmers will make out like gangbusters with higher world prices.

Ouch. That would do it.

 

[5030]

Dang, there goes the price of my Wheaties...

 

[5030]

Pain ahead...

From what I can see, the pain is already here. Just gonna get worse.

 

[Torvy]

Ukraine is a very large wheat producer. I expect the demand in other parts of the world will be pretty high and the U.S. will be exporting quite a bit of wheat this year as a result.

It will not change demand, but supply will be significantly lower. The good news is that farmers who plant spring wheat in the US and other countries may still have time to plant more acres...and/or other farmers may be able to plant wheat instead of something else. (Lots of variables though)

 

[RSKY]

Farmers planting more wheat will mean less ground planted in corn and more ground with beans following the wheat. This is gonna screw up ALL the markets for a couple years. Fortunes will be made and lost gambling on the futures market.

RSKY

 

[sea2summit]

It will not change demand, but supply will be significantly lower. The good news is that farmers who plant spring wheat in the US and other countries may still have time to plant more acres...and/or other farmers may be able to plant wheat instead of something else. (Lots of variables though)

Seeds will probably be a big limiting factor if they try to get more now I bet.

 

[Hay Dude]

Not just seeds….fertilizer is a real biggie
Its “only“ up from $290/ton to $850/ton in less than a year….
….and climbing.
Except for specific elements, I have basically gone to all free fairly organic fertilizers. That is saving me 10’s of thousands in the last few years and ahead.

 

[bmaverick]

EZ-PZ, just got Keto or Gluten FREE. No need for dependence of wheat anymore.

Since 2017 and forward, we have entered the Grand Solar Minimum. Many countries are stopping their exports of Wheat, Barley, Rye, Corn and Oats globally. Few countries have already halted rice exports too. This is to allow them to have food for their own people and not for global consumption.

Several countries have called upon their citizens to grow their own foods due to constrained imports not being there for them.

Our winters will be cold and dry for most with blizzards scattered abroad. Summers will be short and heat intensive that plants burn. The solar cycle minimum is the hardest on bio-organic life of plants, trees and things that grow green. The photosynthesis process is more out of whack now.

Much of this is already documented on the web. The ICEAGE Farmer broadcast reports each week shows how the global food supply keeps shrinking before those who are watching.

Grow food like your life depends on it. We are nearly at the long bottom of this solar cycle that could last 20 to 40 years. Sharpen your gardening skills and other food merit skills. Soon it could take a whole days' wages to earn a loaf of bread. Toss in the on going fuel crisis, farmers WILL NOT PLANT due to costly fuel as the crop return will not support it.

 

[jmc]

Russia is the worlds largest wheat exporter.
Ukraine is the worlds 5th largest exporter.

Combined they export 2X as much as the USA does..... 34% of the worlds exports !!!

if war continues and financial sanctions increase and/or Russia takes over the independent country of the Ukraine, N.A. wheat farmers will make out like gangbusters with higher world prices. Consumers will have to pay more.

Deere pulled out of Russia and Belarus today. Don't know if that includes Deere parts.

 

[/pine]

As a wheat farmer, I worry about having these strange headaches all the time...

but my doctor said it's just my grains.