Corona Virus #6

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   / Corona Virus #6 #692  
How are data sensationalist? I find it anything but sensationalism, which is precisely why I find it useful. It is very easy to determine the growth rate, and to predict where we are headed based on other countries that are ahead of us in the disease progression.

It's precisely plots like these that made me decide to pull my retirement out of the stock market within 2 days of the all time high. I looked at the data and very clearly saw what had happened in China, what was coming our way, and that the only effective way of controlling it was by social distancing, which had been enforced in China. This meant the same measure were going to likely be implemented here, and that was going to tank the economy.

Ignore data at your own peril.

You must be a Senator... Two senators under scrutiny over selling stock before the coronavirus market crash — but do insider-trading laws apply? - MarketWatch
 
   / Corona Virus #6 #693  
WE FOUND THE CULPRIT!!!

:)

Were those the ones that dialed several numbers at once? Then everyone but the first to answer, heard silence then a dial tone?

Lots of different brands and different operating systems, but the best ones monitored the human ACD group and just dialed enough to "feed" them continuously. Object was the keep the ACD group busy 100% (or nearly) of the time. of course they were only as good as the software that run them. The owners of the systems said they could often replace 2 or 3 humans out of a larger group. Meaning they didn't have to pay them, and once the systems were paid for, it was all gravy. Oh, I also installed the ACD groups, and set up the reports to be generated from those groups showing agents efficiency and were called in to interpret those reports if there were misunderstandings. The agents didn't particularly like to see me on the premises. Of course I didn't make a dime doing this as I worked for a company and was paid wages no matter if I was installing phones or reading reports for owners. Just a little cog in the big wheel.
 
   / Corona Virus #6 #695  
The chart would indicate that countries that do not test and do not have confirmed cases to have a lower curve. Why does that make sense to chart?

That is a problem

I am more interested in the number of deaths. And so far the number is extremely low. Italy is starting to trend down...a good sign.

IMHO, 200k dead in the US is not a big deal. Not worth tanking the economy. Those who want to shelter in place have the freedom to do so. The most vulnerable are the old and most are retired anyway...we can hunker down. But it is too early to get a good feel for how many will die. Yet, that analysis will need to be done. What we have now cannot be sustained.

BTW, over 2,800,000 died in the US last year....thus my comment that adding another 200k dead is not significant
 
   / Corona Virus #6 #696  
This is not a prediction.
This is happening in Italy now.

.........
The main task we all have now is to slow the spread as much as possible,
with six feet distancing, hand wash, masks,
all these little elements are not full-on safety, but they all add some level of protection, which slows the spread.

The measures buy time.
Time is of the essence.
More time to prepare, more time to free up hospital beds, free up ventilators, train healthcare staff, search for a cure, ,,, all saves lives.
..........
Everyone who does what they can - to slow the spread-to slightly blunt the inevitable overload - will be saving other people's lives.

Everyone who poo-poos our national emergency - and gets other people to go along - will be "adding deaths".

Make no mistake, "they" will be adding deaths ON THIS FORUM.
It's puzzling where this head-in-the-sand attitude comes from.
Is it being taught on a paid-news site?
And by who?
 
   / Corona Virus #6 #698  
What would a good working order Model T be worth nowadays? I bet some bucks...

Wish that was so... 3 turnkey in the garage...
 
   / Corona Virus #6 #699  
Can you quit with the charts and graphs?

They don't mean a bloomin' thing.

I see them as sensationalistic and attempting to spread drama.
But they do have meaning. This is raw data reported by different countries, so accuracy and credibility will vary. But all the reports say essentially the same thing, that this is a worldwide pandemic that will soon, weeks or months, touch nearly everyone worldwide if it continues to grow at the rates shown in that chart. Frightening, yes. Unnecessary sensationalism and drama, no way. Its real.

Here's the Financial Times article describing the first chart. Perhaps reading the text there is easier to interpret than the chart rswyan posted.

The main point is, this is real. Looking aside isn't going to make the effects less severe. Even if one avoids illness the economic disruption will be impossible to avoid.
 
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