Rant on shipping

Pixguy · Sep 14, 2022

buckeyefarmer said:
Amazon does most of their own deliveries now.

Not in rural areas. I've never received a delivery by Az in NH.

NoTrespassing · Sep 14, 2022

buckeyefarmer said:
Amazon does most of their own deliveries now.

Not my experience, last 2 Amazon orders came usps. One shipped from seller. One from Amazon warehouse.

LouNY · Sep 15, 2022

Same here, UPS, USPS never an amazon truck.

Oneil88 · Sep 16, 2022

LouNY said:
Same here, UPS, USPS never an amazon truck.

It's pretty random for me, saw amazon truck delivery like 2 times out of 10...
Last one was here like 3 weeks ago when I was ordering a bunch of .308(since it's deer season soon) and some Haflinger slippers from Haflinger for entire family(it's getting pretty chilly at night out here)

Other than that, it's all USPS for me.

goeduck · Sep 16, 2022

Probably 75% of Amazon deliveries here arrive by Amazon vehicles. We have a distribution center in the county.

ultrarunner · Sep 16, 2022

Oneil88 said:
It's pretty random for me, saw amazon truck delivery like 2 times out of 10...

Here in Oakland bound to see Amazon anytime seven days a week and multiple times a day…

The US Post Office not so much… sometimes mail does not go out because no one to deliver.

As a child in the same neighborhood we had the same letter carrier for 12 years… he parked his truck and walked with a mail bag and mail always 9:30 am.

When he retired no more walking… mail truck starts band stops dozens of times on one street and mail arrives as late as 10 pm… if it arrives.

Larry Caldwell · Sep 16, 2022

Apparently no rail strike. Hope the workers approve the contract.

Oaktree · Sep 16, 2022

Pixguy said:
Not in rural areas. I've never received a delivery by Az in NH.

Me neither, though I have seen Amazon trucks doing deliveries when I've been in Concord. Not sure where the nearest delivery hub is, I think the warehouse planned for Hudson got cancelled.

Larry Caldwell · Sep 17, 2022

Oaktree said:
Me neither, though I have seen Amazon trucks doing deliveries when I've been in Concord. Not sure where the nearest delivery hub is, I think the warehouse planned for Hudson got cancelled.

Amazon has cancelled plans for a warehouse here too. Apparently their projections say they won't need it. I suspect they're minimizing corporate debt because they think there is a recession coming. I've been doing the same for years on a personal level.

ultrarunner · Sep 17, 2022

Me too…

I do have a 2.75 mortgage I plan to keep until last payment but other than mortgage I figure if I can’t pay cash I can’t afford it…

Not sure what expect with strikes looming… Hospital has already been advised deliveries may be impacted beyond suppliers control.

Larry Caldwell · Sep 17, 2022

The way inflation is running, your 2.75% mortgage is paying you to borrow. My parents bought a farm with a 5% GI Bill mortgage in 1961, and went all-in on what they could afford. They were in no hurry to pay it off. By the late '80s the mortgage payment was petty cash.

When I tell young people the dollar has lost 90% of its value in my lifetime, I get blank looks. I didn't understand why inflation has been so low since 2009, but knew the Fed's free money policy would come back to bite us. Everything but the CPI was going nuts, and now the CPI is catching up with the last 12 years.

The adoption of a just-in-time supply chain is vulnerable to disruption by almost anything. Energy shortage. War. Banking failures. Political posturing. I wouldn't be surprised to encounter random shortages on top of shipping difficulty. On the up side, just 5% inflation for 10 years will cut your mortgage payment in half. That won't matter much to the people living on the streets.

ultrarunner · Sep 17, 2022

Medical supply deliveries have been difficult at best and supply contracts mean nothing in times of shortage.

The best you can hope for is a percentage of what you order…

We do keep all the delivery companies busy and found if I need something right away shipping to work is best…

Like most things if you know your delivery people and be helpful it goes a long way…

Receiving is closed early morning for first out which means it takes forever for someone to appear at the dock…

Drivers know they can pull up to the main lobby and I will accept saving them precious time and they don’t forget.

Torvy · Sep 17, 2022

Larry Caldwell said:
The way inflation is running, your 2.75% mortgage is paying you to borrow. My parents bought a farm with a 5% GI Bill mortgage in 1961, and went all-in on what they could afford. They were in no hurry to pay it off. By the late '80s the mortgage payment was petty cash.

When I tell young people the dollar has lost 90% of its value in my lifetime, I get blank looks. I didn't understand why inflation has been so low since 2009, but knew the Fed's free money policy would come back to bite us. Everything but the CPI was going nuts, and now the CPI is catching up with the last 12 years.

The adoption of a just-in-time supply chain is vulnerable to disruption by almost anything. Energy shortage. War. Banking failures. Political posturing. I wouldn't be surprised to encounter random shortages on top of shipping difficulty. On the up side, just 5% inflation for 10 years will cut your mortgage payment in half. That won't matter much to the people living on the streets.

Too bad that is 100% not why we have inflation.

Pixguy · Sep 24, 2022

Alan W. · Sep 24, 2022

Had a UPS package due the other day. It never came so I looked at the tracking. UPS stated the driver tried to deliver but I wasnt here at 3:30.
My driver is always here from 11:00 to 12:30 and I was home all day plus the package didnt need a signature.
When the driver came the next day I showed him the tracking and he informed me it was UPS covering their butt. He said the package was on the wrong truck. Thats why the 3:30 time and then he showed me how they marked a package that couldnt be delivered.
My package was marked but it wasnt legible. He said whoever the driver was did that on purpose.

Oaktree · Sep 25, 2022

Larry Caldwell said:
The adoption of a just-in-time supply chain is vulnerable to disruption by almost anything. Energy shortage. War. Banking failures. Political posturing. I wouldn't be surprised to encounter random shortages on top of shipping difficulty.

I worked at a manufacturing company in the 80s when JIT was all the rage, and this company went all-in. To me what you noted was obvious, but this is the way things were done in Japan, and at the time if the Japanese did it a certain way, that was clearly the correct way.
I read something a couple days ago that Ford has a whole lot of vehicles sitting waiting for blue oval logos that they ran out of.

JethroB · Sep 25, 2022

Oaktree said:
I worked at a manufacturing company in the 80s when JIT was all the rage, and this company went all-in. To me what you noted was obvious, but this is the way things were done in Japan, and at the time if the Japanese did it a certain way, that was clearly the correct way.
I read something a couple days ago that Ford has a whole lot of vehicles sitting waiting for blue oval logos that they ran out of.

My employer jumped on a Japanese quality management bandwagon in the early 90’s. I forget the catchy name but it sure got old to hear. The new at the time Saturn auto plant in Tennessee (?) used that system. Saturn charged for tours I believe.

. Then we were off chasing the next fad.

LD48750 · Sep 25, 2022

JethroB said:
My employer jumped on a Japanese quality management bandwagon in the early 90’s. I forget the catchy name but it sure got old to hear. The new at the time Saturn auto plant in Tennessee (?) used that system. Saturn charged for tours I believe. . Then we were off chasing the next fad.

And how much does a NEW Saturn cost today?

ultrarunner · Sep 25, 2022

Oaktree said:
I worked at a manufacturing company in the 80s when JIT was all the rage, and this company went all-in. To me what you noted was obvious, but this is the way things were done in Japan, and at the time if the Japanese did it a certain way, that was clearly the correct way.
I read something a couple days ago that Ford has a whole lot of vehicles sitting waiting for blue oval logos that they ran out of.

It was all the rage in business school... let someone else store it and structure contract where any not in time damages fall on super... great for shifting problems until everyone does it.

thepumpguysc · Sep 27, 2022

I usually don’t have anything bad to say about USPS.. BUT.. I have a customer that sent a pump out on Friday & the tracking number and eta said Monday for delivery..
Monday came and went w no pump delivered..
Now here it is Tuesday and there’s still no pump..
I asked the customer to double check his receipt..
He said his tracking showed it JUST LEFT the facility.!!!
He dropped it off on FRIDAY..
THATS some slack service.!!