Oil price prediction

/ Oil price prediction #1  

froggy

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The following is an interview with Boone Pickens in the Dallas Morning News on June 4, 2005 concerning his predictions on the price of oil:

"Striking while oil is hot
Boone Pickens' calls that prices would keep rising have paid off big

08:41 PM CDT on Sunday, June 5, 2005
By SUDEEP REDDY / The Dallas Morning News


As oil surged toward $55 a barrel last week, Boone Pickens and his energy investment funds had their most profitable day ever.

Legendary oilman Boone Pickens manages investments at BP Capital, the firm he launched in 1997. But the 77-year-old sat quietly in his Dallas office without celebration. When making bets in the volatile oil and gas markets, Mr. Pickens says, he's taught his team to look past daily fluctuations as they manage some $2.5 billion for him and wealthy investors.

"You don't get up high on a high day and you don't get your chin on the table on a low day," said Mr. Pickens, who declines to disclose publicly the precise day-to-day changes in his funds.

The legendary oilman gained his fame as a corporate raider in the 1980s, driving up the stocks of energy firms such as Gulf Oil Corp. and Unocal Corp. with his hostile takeover attempts.

Boone Pickens predicted in September that crude oil would hit $60 a barrel before it reached $40 a barrel again. <font color="blue"> He has also predicted $3 gasoline by next year.
</font>
Today, he's offering public predictions about oil and gas prices while managing investments at BP Capital, the firm he launched in 1997 after selling Mesa Petroleum.

So far, his predictions have been on target.

Last May, as crude oil flew past $40 a barrel, Mr. Pickens offered that it would hit $50 a barrel before it hit $30 again. He went even further in September, betting oil would hit $60 before it reached $40 again.

The latest prediction held true in electronic trading, though oil hasn't topped $58.28 in regular trading.

Mr. Pickens isn't strongly pushing the $70-before-$50 view now, but he says oil only has one direction to go over the long term as the supply-demand fundamentals get tighter.

"We're still convinced that production globally has maxed out," Mr. Pickens said. "If it isn't, it's very close."

Even as oil dipped below $47 last month, Mr. Pickens said he was secure in his view about the general trend.

"I think you'll be back to $60 before year-end for sure," he said. He has also predicted $3 gasoline by next year. "
 
/ Oil price prediction #2  
He's not my favorite oil man, but I agree completely with his predictions. I find oil for a living, and all the signs I see point to higher and higher prices sooner or later - there may be short-term fluctuations, but overall the trend will be UP for crude oil, diesel fuel, gasoline, heating oil, propane, electricity, etc.
 
/ Oil price prediction #3  
Heck, you can't argue since we are using it WAY faster then the earth is making it. /forums/images/graemlins/grin.gif
 
/ Oil price prediction #4  
With the recent hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico and BP-Exxons Thunderhead Oil Platform damage, fuel should be >$3 a gallon by Labor Day.......
 
/ Oil price prediction #5  
Yep, My prediction is that the price of oil will go up. I think that is a safe prediction /forums/images/graemlins/smile.gif Might drop a bit from time to time but overall will go up and be maybe 3.00 / gal by next memorial day, for the cheap stuff. Heating oil will be very high this winter, maybe I should go back into the heat pump business ?
It is 2.49 here for premium now.
Maybe I will start using synthetic gas ?

Ben
 
/ Oil price prediction #6  
bring on the prices!

Just filled up my Suzuki GSXR1100 on the way to work at 5:30 am....107 miles and took 2.159 gallons of super duper.

Car gets 24 to 30mpg...For the increase in $$$$ I am not complaining. Is it a scam, yup but there is nothing we can do.

Plus people complain and whine in general but soccer-moms are still buying SUV's like they are going out of style. Never mind the wiesels! /forums/images/graemlins/grin.gif
 
/ Oil price prediction #7  
home heat in our area will be over $2.00 per gallon without a problem. It was $1.65 to $1.85 last year.
 
/ Oil price prediction #8  
</font><font color="blue" class="small">( bring on the prices!

Just filled up my Suzuki GSXR1100 on the way to work at 5:30 am....107 miles and took 2.159 gallons of super duper. )</font>

Oh yeah!? The gas lasts so long in my little Honda Z50 Minitrail that I have to add Stabil to it so it doesn't go bad in the tank. /forums/images/graemlins/grin.gif Beat that! /forums/images/graemlins/tongue.gif
 
/ Oil price prediction #9  
nice.what a _______! /forums/images/graemlins/grin.gif /forums/images/graemlins/grin.gif /forums/images/graemlins/grin.gif

but the million dollar question is can your Z50 do 0 to 6.0 in 2.9 seconds....all while having a hot coffe in your backpack!! /forums/images/graemlins/grin.gif /forums/images/graemlins/grin.gif
 
/ Oil price prediction #10  
</font><font color="blue" class="small">( but the million dollar question is can your Z50 do 0 to 6.0 in 2.9 seconds....all while having a hot coffe in your backpack!! /forums/images/graemlins/grin.gif /forums/images/graemlins/grin.gif )</font>

Not mine but my chop saw (which also burns little fuel) could cut your GSXR in 1/2 in 2.9 seconds and I could have coffee in a backpack. /forums/images/graemlins/shocked.gif /forums/images/graemlins/wink.gif /forums/images/graemlins/grin.gif
 
/ Oil price prediction #11  
</font><font color="blue" class="small">( but the million dollar question is can your Z50 do 0 to 6.0 in 2.9 seconds....all while having a hot coffe in your backpack!! /forums/images/graemlins/grin.gif /forums/images/graemlins/grin.gif )</font>

Well, that depends. It depends on how fast your bike will go from 0 to 60 while towing an old minibike with a scared $***less middle aged man on it. /forums/images/graemlins/grin.gif

In all seriousness though, I've pretty well resigned to just paying what is at the pumps. I don't see where I have much of a choice. I don't have mass transit available for what I do, and I believe even mass transit systems will have to increase their costs as fuel prices go up. What's a guy to do?!
 
/ Oil price prediction #12  
I hear ya. Unless I walk or run to work, there is nothing anyone can do.


I know everything thinks that fuel cells are/is the way to go but our fuel cell division, which makes fuel cells for NASA, schools, gov buildings etc has gone through about 5 layoffs since no one wants them.

We even have discounts at work (UTC- stock UTX) if we would like one. Lots of people signed up, nothing came about it.
 
/ Oil price prediction #13  
can your Z50 do 0 to 6.0 in 2.9 seconds....all while having a hot coffe in your backpack!!
//
No but the wifes bathroom scales will go 0-200 in less than 1 sec, and she makes gas too /forums/images/graemlins/blush.gif

Ben
I just drive my 15 year old subie that gets 25-25 mpg has 4wd and the best part no payments for over 10 years /forums/images/graemlins/smile.gif
 
/ Oil price prediction #14  
We just built a new house this past year and had a geo-thermal heating/cooling system installed. A little bit of a smack initially but our highest electric bill has been $90.00. The house is 2000sf and is all electric. We also put in the best insulation we could afford and 1" of ridgid foam all around the exterior.


John
 
/ Oil price prediction #15  
My soccer mom (wife) drives a 05 WRX STI, sort of out of character, but still not ultra efficient at ~ 18 to 23 ish mpg depending on how many lowered Hondas happen up. /forums/images/graemlins/grin.gif
 
/ Oil price prediction #16  
</font><font color="blue" class="small">( home heat in our area will be over $2.00 per gallon without a problem. It was $1.65 to $1.85 last year. )</font>

Bought 250 gallons yesterday for $2.04 /gal. The local dealer is selling prepaid stuff for winter delivery for $2.06. I am slowly filling my 1000 gallon underground tank now before the price gets much higher.
 
/ Oil price prediction #17  
that is nuts! I switched to NG and when I filled my oil tank for the last time in Jan 2001 I paid less then a $1.00!!!
 
/ Oil price prediction #18  
/forums/images/graemlins/blush.gif I'm not even gonna post how many GALLONS per MILE my 5.9l dodge truck gets. The gmc yukon ain't that much better either... ( but they both pull a loaded trailer quite nicely! )

Soundguy
 
/ Oil price prediction #19  
Our two VW TDIs have averaged 46-49 miles per gallon for the last eight years now and the three KTM thumpers all get about 50-55 depending on how far you twist the throttle.

The Kubotas all get about two hours per gallon or better.
 
/ Oil price prediction #20  
Soundguy, that's something that puzzles me about the newer Dodge diesels. I have an old '94 Dodge 5.9L CTD 2WD with stick shift that has gotten 26MPG from time to time on trips and regularly gets 22 to 24MPG running around town. Towing about 6000# on the interstate it reliably gets 18MPG. WHAT HAPPENED???

Did the Gov't impose some kind of emission controls that screwed up the mileage? Or did the push to hotrod the CTD drive the design away from economy?

Luckily the old girl only has 35000 miles on her. If I can keep the rust at bay, I've got a good tow vehicle for another 10 years. /forums/images/graemlins/smile.gif
Bob
 

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