Compact Tractor July Sales Down 27%!

/ Compact Tractor July Sales Down 27%! #1  

HayDR

Veteran Member, Approved Advertiser
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July Tractor Sales

The sky is not falling. If you look closer the market is back to 2003 sales level. The compact tractor marker is still strong. Inventories are high for this time of year. Look for incentives and good deals to be available all fall.

The Utility Tractor segment is still red hot. The sales figures show almost a 10% increase over last year. 2004 sales were up 40% over 2003 sales. This is driven by the good prices cow/calf farmers have received in the last 18 months.

Low interest rates have kept the Large Tractors selling at about the same rate as last year.
 
/ Compact Tractor July Sales Down 27%! #2  
Our local Kubota dealer is going like gangbusters, hardly a unit in on the lot for a week until it disappears.... /forums/images/graemlins/shocked.gif
 
/ Compact Tractor July Sales Down 27%!
  • Thread Starter
#4  
SkyPup,
Dealer inventory is usually based on their decisions of inventory level ordered 3-6 months in advance. Dealers do have maximums on their floor plan inventory based on their financial ability to pay based on market conditions.
 
/ Compact Tractor July Sales Down 27%! #5  
I would bet this curve somewhat follows the curve of home sales. Fewer folks buying new homesteads equals fewer folks who need a new tractor.
 
/ Compact Tractor July Sales Down 27%! #6  
Thanks again, CCI - I really like seeing this info!

It would be interesting to see if the marketshare breaks evenly on these lines, or if someone is getting a bigger bite, or bitten..!
 
/ Compact Tractor July Sales Down 27%! #7  
Our July Sales were down too. Soon as August rolled around, the sales broke loose and we moved four new tractors in the first week. I have to wonder what the difference was????

Glad to hear that we weren't the only ones with a slow July.
 
/ Compact Tractor July Sales Down 27%! #8  
John Deere's stock just dropped 11% last week when the announced the poor results of their third quarter.

Deere said farm equipment sales have stalled amid a drought stretching from the Great Lakes to Texas that the U.S. Agriculture Department estimates could trim corn and soybean production by 15 percent this fall.

Deere said agricultural equipment sales rose 9 percent for the quarter, down sharply from a 34 percent increase during the same period last year, when a global economic upturn fueled a buying surge. The company predicted farm equipment sales would be up 8 percent for the year, down from earlier estimates of 9 to 11 percent.
 
/ Compact Tractor July Sales Down 27%! #9  
</font><font color="blue" class="small">( John Deere's stock just dropped 11% last week when the announced the poor results of their third quarter. )</font>

Well. time to buy Green Stock, they have been doing very well...
 
/ Compact Tractor July Sales Down 27%! #10  
They are cutting their factory production 28% to better bring their inventory in line with decreased demand. Probably also to clear out their inventory for the release of their new 2006 models as well.
 
/ Compact Tractor July Sales Down 27%! #12  
That’s down 16.4% overall for Total Farm Wheel Tractors for July, 20,621 ’05 vs. 24,674 ‘04.

</font><font color="blue" class="small">( The compact tractor marker is still strong.)</font>

Down nearly 27% for July, 9.9% YTD and heading into the historically weaker period of the year. Sounds like a serious decline to me.

</font><font color="blue" class="small">( Inventories are high for this time of year. Look for incentives and good deals to be available all fall. )</font>

Will be interesting, so far all I’ve seen is increased advertising with not much price discount. Hmmm, 27% rebate to go along with 27% decline....that might make some of us happy.

After years of a red hot real estate market in my area (especially the last 3) and 100% increase in prices last year, for the first time in many years I’m seeing “reduced” signs on houses.

One might blame drought, but depending on what percentage of this result is tractors vs. other product, (I don’t have a 10Q-10K) this appears to be counter to those numbers?



OSAKA, Japan--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Aug. 4, 2005--Net sales of Kubota Corp. (NYSE:KUB - News; hereinafter "the Company") during the three months under review, net sales were 219.5 billion yen, an 11.9% increase from the corresponding period in the prior year, resulting from favorable sales in the domestic and overseas markets.

In the domestic market sales of tractor and other agricultural machinery increased due to aggressive sales campaigns. In addition, sales of engines and construction machinery expanded sharply. Domestic sales in Pipes, Valves, and Industrial Castings increased owing to increased sales of plastic pipe and industrial castings. Increased sales of plastic pipe is attributable to the launch of Kubota-C.I. Co., Ltd., which was jointly established by the Company and C.I. Kasei Company Limited on April 1, 2005. Domestic sales in Environmental Engineering increased due to sales of Water and Sewage Engineering Division, and domestic sales in "Other" segment slightly increased as increase in sales of vending machine compensated the decrease in sales of the building materials business. As a result, total domestic sales increased 8.9%, to 119.5 billion yen from the corresponding period in the prior year.

Overseas sales increased 15.7% to 100.0 billion yen from the corresponding period in the prior year. Sales of engines and construction machinery continued rapid expansion in the U.S. and EU markets and sales of other products of the Internal Combustion Engine and Machinery segment increased steadily.

Operating income was 29.1 billion yen, a 27.5% increase from the corresponding period in the prior year. While price increases in raw materials and appreciation of yen negatively affected operating income, increased sales, centering on Internal Combustion Engine and Machinery, a decrease in pension costs, and profit on sale of properties contributed to the large increase in operating income.

Income before income taxes, minority interests in earnings of subsidiaries, and equity in net income of affiliated companies was 32.1 billion yen, a 24.4% increase from the corresponding period in the prior year, due to an increase in operating income. As a result, after income taxes, minority interests in earnings of subsidiaries and equity in net loss of affiliated companies, net income was 19.1 billion yen, a 36.2% increase from the corresponding period in the prior year.

As for the matter related to the health hazard of asbestos, which became an object of public concern in Japan, the Company declared its intention to act seriously and faithfully for various issues of the health hazard of asbestos in its press release "Notice on the Company's action for the health hazard of asbestos" dated June 30, 2005. The Company, which previously manufactured asbestos-containing products for a long time, has decided to take the actions from the view point of CSR (Corporate Social Responsibility). The Company has not recorded any accrual of loss contingencies so far, because it is difficult for the Company to reasonably estimate the amount of the expenses related to this matter.
 
/ Compact Tractor July Sales Down 27%! #13  
OH NO!! They'll be giving them away before long!!



AP
Durable Goods See Biggest Fall in 18 Months
Wednesday August 24, 8:40 am ET
By Jeannine Aversa, AP Economics Writer
Durable Good Orders Fall by 4.9 Percent in July, the Largest Amount in 18 Months

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Orders to U.S. factories for costly manufactured goods fell in July by the largest amount in 18 months, underscoring the occasionally erratic pace of recovery from the 2001 recession in the manufacturing sector.

The Commerce Department reported Wednesday that new bookings for "durable" goods -- big-ticket items expected to last at least three years -- declined by 4.9 percent in July from the previous month.

It marked the biggest drop since January 2004, when durable-goods orders fell by 5.7 percent.

The last time durable-goods orders fell was in March. Since then, manufacturers have been seeing bookings go up. In June, orders went up by 1.9 percent.

Manufacturers were hardest hit by the recession and they struggled mightily to get back to good health. Analysts believe the factory sector has shown much improvement and is in good shape, although factory employment is still weak and there can be ups and downs in bookings from month to month.

The weakness seen in July hit a broad range of categories, including machinery, computers, communications equipment, electrical equipment and appliances, and airplanes. That more than offset stronger demand for automobiles and parts, and primary metals, a category that includes steel.

The decline in July was steeper than analysts were predicting. Before the release of the report, economists were forecasting a drop in durable-goods orders of around 1.2 percent.

Excluding orders for transportation equipment, which can swing widely from month to month, all other durable-goods orders fell by 3.2 percent in July. That compared with a 3.6 percent increase in June.

Shipments, a good barometer of current demand, dipped by 0.1 percent in July, after growing by 0.3 percent in June.

Factories, big energy users, have had to cope with surging energy bills. Oil prices climbed to an all-time closing high of $67.10 a barrel on Aug. 12.

Wanting to make sure high energy prices don't spark a broader outbreak of inflation, the Federal Reserve earlier this month boosted short-term interest rates for a 10th time since June 2004. Another rate increase is expected at the Fed's next meeting, Sept. 20.
 

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