I haven't been following this thread. But I was just reading something local, that someone here might find interesting:
It's a business case study for planning the resumption of freight traffic north of San Francisco. Railroad infrastructure still exists, but with near-zero freight. Passenger rail after being gone for decades, was resumed in the last few years by SMART - Sonoma Marin Area Transit - who now owns the track. It looks to be presently some 40 miles of passenger service on maybe 120 miles of track owned, but at a glance I didn't see the actual numbers. This business study examines generating more freight revenue running over the commuter rail that is maintained to high - passenger - standards, and beyond, on existing rail.
The first thing I noticed is to ship anything out of the area, Union Pacific, a class 1 line that SMART connects to, has absolute control over all pricing and customer contact with rail customers beyond this little world. UP prefers Unit Trains, marketed to the largest customers, hauling the same product in every car of a long train, between only two specific points. The pricing that UP negotiates while representing these connecting small lines, is so high for single carloads etc to random destinations, that these small connecting lines can't beat truck freight rates.
A surprising part of SMART's freight revenue is simply for parking others' idle railcars on their unused trackage.
I was surprised at the tiny freight revenue earned presently, and the little that might be earned if more local customers installed sidings to use rail. Most of the figures in the report are around $1m which seems so small that any trucking company could be more profitable.
Looks like SMART's freight service in the North Bay isn't likely to ever expand much.