What is your favorite Quote or Saying?

[/pine]

I guess there are an awful lot of "dumb" people out there.

Sorry, NOPE. Weather forecasting is a combination of art and science. And art is subjective while science is objective. So you will NEVER get a 100% (or even 75%) every-day-through-the-year weather forecast for more than 6 hours out*. I'm not talking about +/- .1ｰ or +/- 0.01" precip and "mostly cloudy" vs "partly cloudy". I'm talking about +/- 5ｰ, +/- 0.10" and "mostly cloudy" vs "mostly sunny".

*I would LOVE to see data that supports a SINGLE instance. That's right, just one year's worth of a daily forecast by an individual source that is within 75% of their forecast on temperature, precipitation and cloud cover for tomorrow (yup, I relaxed it from 6 hours out to 24 hours for the challenge). I will gladly admit defeat and pay you 100 pesos in the form of clean fill if I am wrong.

Bottom line is, I am 1000% convinced that, while technology can give us a general idea of what to expect in the next couple/few days for weather, there are far too many factors for even modern super computers to account for. I can guarantee that not a single model accounts for the butterfly effect, simply because there is no way that anyone can keep track of every single butterfly, and when, where and how they are flapping their wings. 10-day and 14-day forecasts are about as accurate as a Bingo cage.

Well gee whiz...you don't have to look very far to realize this is an absolute fact and an incredible understatement...!

Yup...!...If you have not figured it out yet...the media including TV and commercial Internet sites etc. are geared towards stupid people...plain and simple...
WX forecasting is NOT about predicting an exact number of snowflakes that are going to fall over a specific geographical area or exactly how many rain drops are going to fall...It's about knowing in advance exactly what type of weather is likely headed for a specific region...it's about knowing what weather systems are prevailing...

The winds aloft and other determining factors are constantly changing 24/7/365...the current forecast is only as good as the current collected data...The most accurate forecasts are the absolute latest.

FYI the NWS updates their forecasts as often as pertinent data changes...those that do not keep abreast of those dynamic forecasts and then blame the forecasters for errors are fools...

 

[goeduck]

Thick as bugs on a bumper.

 

[buckeyefarmer]

You need to get out more.

Yes, but what does that have to do with anything?

 

[goeduck]

It does not take a rocket surgeon or a brain scientist to.....

 

[Jim Shooz]

we crashed the gate doing ninety-eight

So let those suckers roll

 

[goeduck]

So let those suckers roll

fer shure, fer shure

 

[Frankenkubota]

It's easier to keep up then to catch up.

 

[2LaneCruzer]

We're gonna need a bigger boat...

 

[Citydude]

We're gonna need a bigger boat...

That saying went through my mind when I discovered that I needed a bigger tractor..

 

[Xfaxman]

Some will, some won't.

Some do, some don't.