Still no physics presented in support of your side. You've seen condensation inside your tractor's fuel tank? (outside?)
I've got METAL tanks and I've got plastic tanks. ALL OUTSIDE. I'm in the PNW. I've had ZERO water in any of my tanks (other than via crappy locking fuel cap on my Kioti). So, it's not a hypothetical for me, it's PROVEN.
Inside, outside, everything around it. Tractor fuel tank, vehicle tanks, heating oil tank, fuel storage tanks.
Even on the fancy double tanks, especially when I lived in an area that would swing the temperature up or down almost 110F in under 2 hours.
Storage tanks, drain them each year or two and get maybe an ounce or two of water. Based on that guys numbers I should have had way more. Almost half an ounce a days worth.
You want real numbers? They depend on ambient temperatures and then the chemical breakdown of the specific blend.
Looks like the fiberglass guys see it as an issue as well:
Microbial Influenced Corrosion (MIC) of Metals & Alloys in Fuel & Municipal Storage Tank and Piping Systems - Fiberglass Tank & Pipe
How about some nice research (
Liquid Fuel Ageing Processes in Long-term Storage Conditions ) on oxidation breakdown and an excerpt:
" The rate and frequency of temperature fluctuations favors accumulation of higher amounts of oxygen and water in storage tanks. A significant drop or temporary fluctuations in the fuel’s temperature cause changes which are not always reversible (any generated deposits or highly dispersed phases do not always disappear after the temperature has risen).
The relationship between changes in the rate of chemical and biochemical reactions and temperature is exponential, therefore, the most active components of fuels, contained in refinery products may react at a temperature of 40°C even several times as fast, compared with their reaction rates at –30°C. For that reason, the surface of fuel storage tanks must be protected from the direct impact of thermal and solar radiation. "
I can pull put the chemistry set if that is what you really want?